{"id":1161,"date":"2025-07-15T10:43:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T10:43:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.ngocha.biz\/?p=1161"},"modified":"2026-05-27T18:23:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T18:23:03","slug":"phuong-phap-wyckoff-p4-cach-phan-biet-giua-tich-luy-va-phan-phoi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.ngocha.biz\/?p=1161","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Wyckoff: P4- C\u00e1ch ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa T\u00edch l\u0169y v\u00e0 Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n \n<\/presto-player>\n<\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Khi gi\u00e1 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y m\u00e0 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n bi\u1ebft \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y th\u00ec ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 mua v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3i; mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ee7 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn th\u00ec ki\u1ec3u g\u00ec gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng; nh\u01b0ng ch\u1eb3ng may \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i th\u00ec \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda.<\/p>\n

Khi gi\u00e1 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong v\u00f9ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd di chuy\u1ec3n xu\u1ed1ng bi\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi l\u00fac n\u00e0y b\u00ean mua s\u1ebd nh\u1ea9y v\u00e0o mua \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 l\u00ean v\u00ec trong con m\u1eaft c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd th\u00ec gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ee7 r\u1ebb. Khi gi\u00e1 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00ean bi\u00ean tr\u00ean th\u00ec b\u00ean c\u1ea7m h\u00e0ng s\u1ebd b\u00e1n ra v\u00ec theo theo h\u1ecd nh\u01b0 v\u1eady l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1. Nh\u01b0ng gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed gi\u00e1 break ra kh\u1ecfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u00ec sao? N\u1ebfu n\u00f3 break l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00ean mua l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd b\u00e1n ngay khi h\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 v\u00ec h\u1ecd l\u00e0 n\u0111t ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n; ho\u1eb7c h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua l\u00e0m gi\u00e1 cao l\u00ean ti\u1ebfp khi h\u1ecd l\u00e0 n\u0111t d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u0169ng v\u1eady.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, m\u1ecdi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n. Ch\u1ec9 khi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng th\u00ec m\u1edbi ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 m\u00ecnh \u0111\u00fang hay sai. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 th\u00ec r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5, m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 r\u1ea5t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng; nh\u01b0ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00fang t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai m\u1edbi t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3 th\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi l\u00e0 VND: N\u00f3 \u0111ang trong m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m t\u1edbi v\u00f9ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng ng\u1eafn sau \u0111\u00f3 di chuy\u1ec3n t\u1edbi v\u00f9ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi bi\u00ean l\u1edbn v\u00e0 d\u00e0i. Gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng nh\u00ecn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00eda sau c\u1ee7a h\u1ed9p n\u00e0y, c\u00e1i ta c\u1ea7n l\u00e0 t\u00ecm ra c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u00fac n\u00e0y l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb 13.000\u0111 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 20.000 v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang quay l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi bi\u00ean h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u00fang 13.000\u0111. Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 r\u00e2t th\u1ea5p t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh, \u0111ang g\u1eb7p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh; c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 m\u1ecdi y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ec1u \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t pha t\u00edch l\u0169y. Ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd t\u00ecm d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c pha<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Phase A: D\u1eebng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/strong><\/p>\n

Khi CP \u0111ang trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m ta ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e9p mua; \u0111\u1eebng lo kh\u00f4ng mua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00ec khi d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i bao gi\u1edd n\u00f3 c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfp theo; l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 ta mua c\u0169ng ch\u01b0a mu\u1ed9n.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i pha A, khi cp g\u1eb7p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00f3 b\u1eadt l\u00ean v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea7n 1. T\u1ea1i l\u1ea7n 1 n\u00e0y gi\u00e1 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 1\/2 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n phe b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf; n\u1ebfu dao \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y \u1edf ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 1\/2 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n phe mua \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf. Trong \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ecb n\u00e0y khi gi\u00e1 g\u1eb7p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00f3 b\u1eadt l\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng t\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 tr\u00ean; m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho vi\u1ec7c b\u00ean b\u00e1n v\u1eabn ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m sau c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean mua lu\u00f4n; h\u00e3y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c quan s\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Phase B: T\u00edch l\u0169y<\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n ki\u1ec3m tra di\u1ec5n ra b\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 1\/2 l\u00e0 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a b\u00ean mua. S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n ki\u1ec3m tra n\u1eb1m ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 1\/2 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh b\u00ean b\u00e1n. <\/p>\n

Trong \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ecb v\u00ec ta kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ecb \u1edf ph\u00eda sau n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i pha t\u00edch l\u0169y hay kh\u00f4ng; ta ch\u1ec9 bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 \u0111ang \u1edf trong v\u00f9ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng khi n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn d\u1eebng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u1edf pha A. N\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 break l\u00ean lu\u00f4n ho\u1eb7c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 break xu\u1ed1ng lu\u00f4n. \u1ede l\u1ea7n test kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m trong phi\u00ean sau \u0111\u00f3 b\u1ecb b\u1eadt xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n b\u00ean mua c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu; khi n\u00f3 v\u1ec1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 d\u01b0\u1edbi, gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 m\u00e0 b\u1eadt l\u00ean ngay th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n r\u1eb1ng phe mua \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf. L\u1ea7n test kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ee9 hai, gi\u00e1 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o qua kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 nh\u01b0ng b\u1ecb k\u00e9o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3 th\u1ecb c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho ta 2 g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn. G\u00f3c 1: Phe mua \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf; G\u00f3c 2: C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tay to \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba c\u00e1c n\u0111t kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 x\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng v\u00ec n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecf chi\u1ebfm ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o.<\/p>\n

Phase C: \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 phe \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 phe \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u00fa k\u00e9o ra kh\u1ecfi bi\u00ean tr\u00ean (n\u1ebfu l\u00e0 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m) v\u00e0 bi\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi (n\u1ebfu l\u00e0 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng). N\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 c\u00e1c pha k\u00e9o x\u1ea3 v\u00e0 r\u0169 b\u1ecf kinh \u0111i\u1ec3n. B\u00e1n hay mua \u1edf c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y s\u1ebd mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn l\u1edbn<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t pha r\u0169 b\u1ecf s\u1ebd th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0:<\/p>\n